This is a very rough seat prediction, because, while I like Nanos’ methodology, their results aren’t broken down regionally enough, and their methodology also smoothes out the trendline so you have to watch it over a longer period of time.
However, because I’m a geek, I fed the numbers into my Seat Predictor and got:
Conservative: 147 (Ranging between 145 and 181)
NDP: 104 (Anywhere from 0 to 104)
Liberal: 51 (Between 51 and 87)
BQ: 6 (Between 6 and 40)
What does this mean is likely to happen on Monday?
Conservative victory, possibly a majority. Other than that? I have no clue.