This is my first video blog entry. Well, if you count “Bye Bye Barlow” it’s actually my second. Either way, here it is. There are a few technical things I’m still not entirely happy with, but after a week of messing around, it’s time to publish it anyway. [youtube http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lhTI4oqJoFY?rel=0&w=640&h=480]
Read moreMucking Around with Electoral Reform
With the re-election of Stephen Harper‘s Conservatives to Parliament with a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, a large number of calls for electoral reform are being raised. The old, tired, and inaccurate arguments of “60% of the voters voted against Stephen Harper” are being raised, yet again. I too used a similar…
Read moreProjection Interpretation and Analysis: Pretty Good!
As I posted in my previous entry, I think I made a fairly good prediction of the result of the election, based on the information I had available to me. For my final result model, I used a public opinion poll released on Sunday, May 1, 2011, as it sampled a very large number of people…
Read more#CPC in Majority Territory (Prediction, #Nanos, April 27, 2011) #CPC 162 #NDP 92 #LPC 38 #BQ 16
The Liberals are in deep trouble. While their seat spread is much smaller, Michael Ignatieff has the potential of leading the Liberal Party to their worst defeat in history…
Read more#LPC in danger of decimation. #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41 #CPC 147 #NDP 100 #LPC 44 #BQ 17 (Angus Reid Poll)
The numbers are very positive for the Conservative party. Despite polling 35%, the concentration of NDP support is in Quebec, at the expense of all other parties. This pulls down the national support figure for the Conservatives, and pulls up the same figure for the NDP.
Read morePrediction: #ekos April 25. #CPC 144, #NDP 108, #LPC 53, #BQ 3 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41
In the same vein as my last prediction, put out this morning from the data supplied by Nanos Research, here is one based on the data supplied by the most recent Ekos poll, also released today: Conservative: 144 NDP: 108 Liberal: 53 Bloc Quebecois: 3 Ekos is an interesting firm. Their results are always very…
Read morePrediction (#nanos, April 25, 2011): #CPC 166 #LPC 50 #BQ 47 #NDP 45 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41
Things are looking very well for the Conservatives, who are in clear majority territory now. Michael Ignatieff’s political career is pretty much over, Jack Layton, if the trends continue, may just become leader of the Official Opposition, and Gilles Duceppe seems to be on track to retirement.
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