With the re-election of Stephen Harper‘s Conservatives to Parliament with a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, a large number of calls for electoral reform are being raised. The old, tired, and inaccurate arguments of “60% of the voters voted against Stephen Harper” are being raised, yet again. I too used a similar…
Read moreProjection Interpretation and Analysis: Pretty Good!
As I posted in my previous entry, I think I made a fairly good prediction of the result of the election, based on the information I had available to me. For my final result model, I used a public opinion poll released on Sunday, May 1, 2011, as it sampled a very large number of people…
Read morePrediction Accuracy Report (Complete) – Can I call it, or can I call it?
On Sunday, I predicted the following result based on my prediction program and intuition: Conservative: 156 (155-160) NDP: 76 (80-80) Liberal: 46 (40-50) Bloc: 30 (25-35) My program initially spit out the following based on Ekos’ data: Conservative: 150 NDP: 116 Liberal: 37 Bloc: 5 Once I had adjusted…
Read moreMy Seat Prediction, based on #Ekos, May 1, 2011 and intuition: #CPC 156, #NDP: 76, #LPC: 46, #BQ: 30 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41
I’ve written before that I question Ekos’ methodology. Traditionally, they always seem to favour the “underdog” in an election poll. In 2008, they missed the results of the Conservative Party by just over 3%, which is a significant amount, especially since they consider their margin of error to be roughly +/- 1.8%. Obviously things happen…
Read moreSurreal Sales
Steven Britton Deep Stuff, Favourite Stuff, Fun Stuff, Home Stuff, Interest, My Stuff, Opinion, Play Stuff
Far back in the mists of ancient time, before the days of my tenure at The Little Railway Company That Couldn’t (a job so terrible I also refer to it as My Time in Prison) I was a student. Not a Public Institution Student, mind you, but I attended a private technical school which meant…
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