Category: Election Predictions

A hobby of mine is Predicting Elections. Usually, I get it right. Note: I make no apologies for bad polling methodology. Take it up with the pollsters.

Prediction: #ekos April 25. #CPC 144, #NDP 108, #LPC 53, #BQ 3 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

2011-04-25 Steven Britton Deep Stuff, Election Predictions, My Stuff, Opinion

In the same vein as my last prediction, put out this morning from the data supplied by Nanos Research, here is one based on the data supplied by the most recent Ekos poll, also released today: Conservative: 144 NDP: 108 Liberal: 53 Bloc Quebecois: 3 Ekos is an interesting firm. Their results are always very…

Prediction (#nanos, April 25, 2011): #CPC 166 #LPC 50 #BQ 47 #NDP 45 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

2011-04-25 Steven Britton Deep Stuff, Election Predictions, My Stuff, Opinion

Things are looking very well for the Conservatives, who are in clear majority territory now. Michael Ignatieff’s political career is pretty much over, Jack Layton, if the trends continue, may just become leader of the Official Opposition, and Gilles Duceppe seems to be on track to retirement.

Stronger Conservative House, Still Minority

2008-09-21 Steven Britton Deep Stuff, Election Predictions, My Stuff, Opinion

I’m a geek. I fully admit it. Years and years ago, I developed a secret formula for working out seat counts for the upcoming federal election, based on regional breakdown of polling data. What that means is that I have a prediction program which lets me plug in polling information, it applies the changes in…

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